PET Plastic Raw Material Export Market Outlook 2025: Fa'asologa ma Fuafuaga

1. Va'aiga lautele o Maketi

Ole maketi ole polyethylene terephthalate (PET) o loʻo faʻamoemoeina e oʻo atu i le 42 miliona metric tone i le 2025, o loʻo faʻatusalia ai le 5.3% faʻaopoopo faʻaletausaga o le tuputupu aʻe mai le 2023 tulaga. O loʻo faʻaauau pea ona pulea e Asia fefaʻatauaʻiga PET i le lalolagi atoa, e tusa ma le 68% o le aofaʻi o oloa auina atu i fafo, sosoo ai ma Sasaʻe Tutotonu i le 19% ma Amerika i le 9%.

Avetaavale Autu Maketi:

• Fa'atupula'ia le mana'omia mo fagu vai ma meainu suamalie i atunu'u o lo'o fa'atupuina
• Fa'ateleina le fa'aaogaina ole PET (rPET) toe fa'aaogaina i totonu ole afifiina
• Fa'atupulaia ile gaosiga ole alava polyester mo 'ie
• Fa'alautelega o mea'ai-grade PET talosaga

2. Fa'aitulagi Export Dynamics

Asia-Pasefika (68% o oloa auina atu i fafo)

• Saina: Fa'amoemoe e fa'atumauina le 45% sea maketi e ui lava i tulafono fa'alesiosiomaga, fa'atasi ai ma fa'aopoopoga fou gafatia i itumalo o Zhejiang ma Fujian.
• Initia: Tagata fa'atau oloa sili ona vave fa'atupula'ia i le 14% le tuputupu a'e o le tausaga, fa'amanuiaina mai polokalame fa'atupu fa'aosofiaga
• Asia i Sautesasae: Vietnam ma Taialani o loʻo tulaʻi mai e avea ma isi faʻatau oloa ma tau faʻatauva ($1,050-$1,150/MT FOB)

Sasa'e Tutotonu (19% o oloa auina atu i fafo)

• O Saudi Arabia ma UAE o loʻo faʻaogaina filifili PX-PTA tuʻufaʻatasia
• Tau fa'atauva'a malosi fa'atumauina 10-12% tupe mama
• O tau o le CFR Europa na fuafua ile $1,250-$1,350/MT

Amerika (9% o oloa auina atu i fafo)

• Mekisikō fa'amalosia le tulaga o se nofoaga lata ane mo fa'ailoga a Amerika
• O Pasila o lo'o pulea le sapalai a Amerika i Saute ma le 8% le fa'atupulaia o oloa auina atu i fafo

3. Fa'asologa o Tau ma Faiga Fa'avae Fefa'ataua'iga

Va'aiga tau:

• Fuafuaga tau fa'atau atu a Asia ile $1,100-$1,300/MT
• rPET fasipepa fa'atonuina le 15-20% tupe fa'aalu nai lo mea taupou
• Pellets PET-mea'ai fa'atatau ile $1,350-$1,500/MT

Atinae Faiga Faavae o Fefaatauaiga:

• O tulafono fou a le EU e fa'atulafonoina ai le itiiti ifo i le 25% o mea e toe fa'aaogaina
• O tiute e mafai ona tetee atu i le lafoa'i i luga o le aufaipisinisi mai Asia
• Faiga fa'atatau o tuaoi o kabone e a'afia ai uta mamao
• ISCC+ fa'amaonia ua avea ma tulaga fa'atauva'a mo le fa'aauauina

4. Fa'aauauina ma le toe fa'aaogaina o Aafiaga

Suiga Maketi:

• Ole manaoga ole rPET ole lalolagi ole faatupulaia ile 9% CAGR ile 2025
• 23 atunu'u o lo'o fa'atinoina polokalame fa'alauteleina o tiute tau tagata gaosi oloa
• Fa'ailoga tetele o lo'o tu'uina atu i le 30-50% fa'asologa o mea e toe fa'aaogaina

Tekinolosi Siisiitia:

• La'au toe fa'aaogā fa'a-enzymatic ua ausia le fua fa'apisinisi
• Tekinolosi fa'amama sili e mafai ai le rPET fa'afeso'ota'i mea'ai
• 14 nofoaga fou toe fa'aaogaina vaila'au o lo'o fausia i le lalolagi atoa

5. Fautuaga mo le au fa'atau atu i fafo

1. Fa'avasegaga o oloa:
   • Atia'e togi fa'apitoa mo talosaga maualuga
   • Teu fa'afaigaluega i mea'ai-feso'ota'i fa'amaonia le gaosiga rPET
   • Fausia suiga fa'aleleia fa'atinoga mo 'ie fa'apitoa
2. Fa'atonuga fa'afanua:
   • Fa'atuina nofoaga e toe fa'aaogaina ai mea e lata ane i nofoaga autu o mana'oga
   • Fa'aaoga maliega tau fefa'ataua'iga saoloto a ASEAN mo le lelei o tau
   • Atia'e ni ta'iala mo maketi i Sisifo
3. Tu'ufa'atasiga tumau:
   • Maua tusipasi fa'ava-o-malo
   • Fa'atino tusi folau oloa fa'akomepiuta mo le su'eina
   • Fa'apaaga ma tagata e ona fa'ailoga i faiga tapuni tapuni

O le maketi fa'atau atu a le PET i le 2025 o lo'o tu'uina atu uma lu'itau ma avanoa a'o toe fa'aleleia e tulafono fa'alesiosiomaga faiga fa'atauga masani. O tagata fa'atau atu i fafo o lo'o fa'afetaui lelei i mana'oga fa'ata'amilosaga o le tamaoaiga a'o fa'atumauina le fa'atauva'a tau o le a sili ona fa'atulaga e fa'atupe ai le fa'atupulaia o mana'oga o le lalolagi.